Monday, 18 May 2015

Euro's

Euro's rise presents a selling opportunity
Call: Sell EUR-USD
Reco rate: 1.1378
Buy 14 lots of USD-INR at spot price Rs64.2550
Sell 10 lots of EUR-INR at spot price Rs73.14

 



Key points
  • Euro has risen against the dollar by 8.85% from its cycle low of 1.0452 reached on March 16, 2015.
  • In Q1 of 2015 the European economy grew faster than the US economy but the relative performance is unlikely to be repeated for various reasons explained later.
  • US job market is stronger; the economy is expected to gather pace in the coming months. 
  • Low inflation in the euro zone arouses deflationary fears.
  • ECB is in easing mode to fight deflationary risk.
  • ECB has announced a larger than expected quantitative easing programme with monthly bond purchase of EUR60 billion from March 2015 and lasting till end September 2016.
  • The Fed is expected to start hiking rates from September 2015.
  • Divergent monetary policies of the Fed and the ECB spell further weakness in the euro-dollar pair.
  • The ongoing geo-political tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and the resulting European sanctions are a drag on the European growth. 
  • We expect the euro-dollar pair to move towards parity.
  • We have recommended selling the pair at 1.1378 for a target of 1.02 and 0.95 with a stop loss at 1.2150. 

9

Kewal Kiran Clothing
Reco: Buy
PT: Rs2,480
CMP: Rs2,254


Upgraded to Buy with a revised PT of Rs2,480

Kewal Kiran Clothing
Reco: Buy
PT: Rs2,480
CMP: Rs2,254
 
Upgraded to Buy with a revised PT of Rs2,480

8

Greaves Cotton
Reco: Hold
PT: Rs140
CMP: Rs129
 
May 15, 2015

Stock Update

Cadila Healthcare
Reco: Buy
PT: Rs2,060
CMP: Rs1,688

 

7

DERIVATIVES INFO KIT

Open interest break-up
 BANKNIFTYCNXITNIFTYSTOCKTOTAL
Future 3293.9720.9813071.6858741.1575127.78
Call 5560.360.5057229.039708.9772498.86
Put 4534.050.1754827.874930.1364292.22
Total13388.3821.65125128.5873380.25211918.86
Near Month12570.0019.4279565.6470060.38162215.44
Far Months818.382.24

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